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Who's betting on “Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?”?

Weather$27K traded74 holdersEnds January 8, 2027Updated October 19, 2026
83%Yes
17%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 21 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$27K
traded all time
Held now
$6.2K
by 74 wallets
Smart share · Yes
55%
27 scored holders
Smart share · No
76%
47 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 83¢ and No at 17¢, an 83% implied chance of Yes. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.

The smart money

55% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 21 points.

Who holds it

74 wallets hold a position worth $6.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 74 of them.

Yes83%
Smart money share55%
7 days ago 55%a day ago 55%now 55%
Holders
27
Money on it
$5.5K
Holders' win rate
52%
No17%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share76% ▼ 4 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 76%a day ago 79%now 76%
Holders
47
Money on it
$686
Holders' win rate
51%
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?"?

74 wallets hold a position worth $6.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 74 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 83¢ and No at 17¢, an 83% implied chance of Yes. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

55% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 21 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 8, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.