Who's betting on “Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $31K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.3K by 89 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 42 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 77% 47 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.
Who holds it
89 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is eCash, with $101 on it, $288K lifetime profit over 691 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is DiaMat, with $1.1K on it, $7.2K lifetime profit over 111 markets (92% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $366
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $3.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$366 on it
- 1eCash68% won of 691 · whale$101+$288K lifetime
- 2Toncar1644% won of 268 · noise$53+$117K lifetime
- 3PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$38+$56K lifetime
- 4xcvsgdd53% won of 120$37−$2.9K lifetime
- 5SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$35+$203K lifetime
No$3.9K on it
- 1DiaMat92% won of 111 · balanced$1.1K+$7.2K lifetime
- 2RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$436+$819K lifetime
- 3GayPride80% won of 674 · whale$366+$655K lifetime
- 4Pantheon173% won of 227 · balanced$269+$4.6K lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,296$264−$52K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
3 more- October 31$274K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- December 31$240K vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- October 15$76K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?"?
89 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is eCash, with $101 on it, $288K lifetime profit over 691 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is DiaMat, with $1.1K on it, $7.2K lifetime profit over 111 markets (92% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.