Who's betting on “Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $240K traded all time
- Held now
- $27K by 134 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 58% 82 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 51 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $240K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
58% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
Who holds it
134 wallets hold a position worth $27K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 133 of them. The largest Yes holder is eCash, with $1.2K on it, $288K lifetime profit over 691 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is RememberAmalek, with $10K on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won).
- Holders
- 83
- Money on it
- $4.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $22K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.7K on it
- 1eCash68% won of 691 · whale$1.2K+$288K lifetime
- 2Specksalam82% won of 66$769−$3.9K lifetime
- 3anoin12359% won of 1,608$698−$4.7M lifetime
- 4outcomes42% won of 234 · noise$337+$15K lifetime
- 5SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$229+$203K lifetime
No$22K on it
- 1RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$10K+$819K lifetime
- 2GayPride80% won of 674 · whale$4.7K+$655K lifetime
- 308052691% won of 11$1.9K+$712 lifetime
- 4AlAhmeda71% won of 1,367$694−$96K lifetime
- 5BoubouleLePetitZboub91% won of 11$660−$49 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
3 more- October 31$274K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- November 30$31K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money split
- October 15$76K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?"?
134 wallets hold a position worth $27K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 133 of them. The largest Yes holder is eCash, with $1.2K on it, $288K lifetime profit over 691 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is RememberAmalek, with $10K on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $240K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
58% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.