Who's betting on “Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 78% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $59K traded all time
- Held now
- $17K by 152 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 69% 61 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 78% 88 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 99¢ and No at 1¢, a 99% implied chance of Yes. $59K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
69% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points.
Who holds it
152 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 149 of them. The largest Yes holder is ElZorro69, with $5.2K on it, $27K lifetime profit over 3 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is wienerdog, with $28 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 329 markets (56% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $2 on Yes.
- Holders
- 62
- Money on it
- $17K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 1 · $2
- Holders
- 90
- Money on it
- $96
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$17K on it
- 1ElZorro69100% won of 3$5.2K+$27K lifetime
- 2anoin12359% won of 1,608$4.7K−$4.7M lifetime
- 3Arman265% won of 334 · whale$2.6K+$100 lifetime
- 4Utoya93% won of 40 · balanced$1.2K+$7.2K lifetime
- 50x56e7…7c0b70% won of 155 · whale$879+$47K lifetime
No$96 on it
- 1wienerdog56% won of 329 · whale$28+$21K lifetime
- 2balthazar53% won of 52,319 · whale$8+$1.2M lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,228 · noise$7+$254K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$6+$334K lifetime
- 5K80PRO56% won of 901$6−$577 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Paris curfew effectively lifted by...?
2 more- November 7$18K vol.Yes 99%No 1%Smart money: Yes
- October 24$10K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?"?
152 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 149 of them. The largest Yes holder is ElZorro69, with $5.2K on it, $27K lifetime profit over 3 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is wienerdog, with $28 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 329 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 99¢ and No at 1¢, a 99% implied chance of Yes. $59K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.