Who's betting on “Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 7?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 77% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 21 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.9K by 68 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 77% 25 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 56% 42 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 99¢ and No at 1¢, a 99% implied chance of Yes. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 7, 2026.
The smart money
77% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 40 points.
Who holds it
68 wallets hold a position worth $6.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is Parz1vaI, with $1.5K on it, $802K lifetime profit over 1,263 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is frozenriver, with $13 on it, $227K lifetime profit over 247 markets (78% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $30 on Yes.
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $6.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 1 · $30
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $65
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$6.8K on it
- 1Parz1vaI72% won of 1,263 · whale$1.5K+$802K lifetime
- 2BillyBoy9474% won of 506 · balanced$1.1K+$3.8K lifetime
- 3balthazar53% won of 52,414 · whale$872+$1.2M lifetime
- 4pagliacci493% won of 1,552$815−$15K lifetime
- 5DerDon56% won of 1,234 · whale$557+$95K lifetime
No$65 on it
- 1frozenriver78% won of 247 · whale$13+$227K lifetime
- 2Numitus199449% won of 15,720$12−$28K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$6+$27K lifetime
- 4ZhouCD49% won of 2,459$5−$18K lifetime
- 5macl42% won of 219 · noise$5+$1.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Paris curfew effectively lifted by...?
2 more- October 31$59K vol.Yes 99%No 1%Smart money: No
- October 24$10K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big politics markets
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 7?"?
68 wallets hold a position worth $6.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is Parz1vaI, with $1.5K on it, $802K lifetime profit over 1,263 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is frozenriver, with $13 on it, $227K lifetime profit over 247 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 7?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 99¢ and No at 1¢, a 99% implied chance of Yes. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 7, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
77% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 40 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 7, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.