Who's betting on “Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?”?
Politics · $216K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $216K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
58% of the money on Yes and 16% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 60 points.
119 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 119 of them. The largest Yes holder is gotozer0, with $2.4K on it, $1.9K lifetime loss over 324 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is Digital-Boy, with $1.2K on it, $77K lifetime loss over 1,974 markets (15% won).
- Smart money share
- 58% ▼ 4 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' winrate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 16% ▼ 16 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 50
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' winrate
- 29%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| gotozer0 | $2.4K | -$1.9K | 77% of 324 |
| conherencebalanced | $2.1K | +$3.2K | 79% of 318 |
| lissartter | $1.8K | -$270K | 56% of 2,742 |
| e46m3whale | $1.1K | +$1.1M | 47% of 74,172 |
| Ludoeaglewhale | $1.0K | +$14K | 69% of 296 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Digital-Boy | $1.2K | -$77K | 15% of 1,974 |
| Haradwaith | $488 | -$334K | 50% of 45,650 |
| Relaccsedwhale | $145 | +$9.3K | 57% of 382 |
| pjotrekkknoise | $144 | +$20K | 24% of 1,562 |
| etghzcer | $8 | -$338 | 100% of 282 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
- Oil < $85; R Senate$337K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Oil < $85; D Senate$328K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Oil ≥ $85; D Senate$297K vol.Yes 65%No 35%Smart money: No
Who's betting on Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?"?
119 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 119 of them. The largest Yes holder is gotozer0, with $2.4K on it, $1.9K lifetime loss over 324 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is Digital-Boy, with $1.2K on it, $77K lifetime loss over 1,974 markets (15% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $216K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
58% of the money on Yes and 16% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 60 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.