Who's betting on “No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 68% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 7 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $108K traded all time
- Held now
- $61K by 196 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 68% 115 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 61% 81 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $108K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
The smart money
68% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
Who holds it
196 wallets hold a position worth $61K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 196 of them. The largest Yes holder is chriszyy3, with $15K on it, $52K lifetime profit over 301 markets (95% won). The largest No holder is anonymoususer10, with $2 on it, $166 lifetime profit over 74 markets (73% won).
- Holders
- 115
- Money on it
- $61K
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
- Holders
- 81
- Money on it
- $9
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$61K on it
No$9 on it
- 1anonymoususer1073% won of 74 · balanced$2+$166 lifetime
- 2Gaditima49% won of 12,085$1−$431K lifetime
- 3ABC1234565432148% won of 5,905$1−$1.2K lifetime
- 4TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 482$1−$53K lifetime
- 5exothetajunkie78% won of 202 · whale$0+$23K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Bank of Japan Decision in October?
4 more- 25 bps increase$103K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 50+ bps increase$96K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 25 bps decrease$41K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 50+ bps decrease$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 79%No 22%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.6M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 80%No 21%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$921K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?"?
196 wallets hold a position worth $61K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 196 of them. The largest Yes holder is chriszyy3, with $15K on it, $52K lifetime profit over 301 markets (95% won). The largest No holder is anonymoususer10, with $2 on it, $166 lifetime profit over 74 markets (73% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $108K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
68% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.