Who's betting on “1H Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)”?

Sports · $148K volume · Ends September 27, 2026 · Updated September 27, 2026

Polymarket prices Chiefs at 96¢ and Dolphins at 5¢, a 96% implied chance of Chiefs. $148K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 27, 2026.

11% of the money on Chiefs and 1% of the money on Dolphins is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Chiefs, by 10 points. A week ago, Chiefs by 10 points.

38 wallets hold a position worth $141K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them. The largest Chiefs holder is nigiri99, with $76K on it, $1.4M lifetime loss over 13,696 markets (46% won). The largest Dolphins holder is 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816, with $6.1K on it, $200K lifetime loss over 661 markets (44% won).

Chiefs96%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
11%
Holders
26
Money on it
$116K
Holders' winrate
55%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
Dolphins5%
Smart money share
1%
Holders
12
Money on it
$25K
Holders' winrate
31%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Chiefs
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
nigiri99$76K-$1.4M46% of 13,696
Painfulvoid$20K-$594K94% of 467
mooseborzoi$15K-$11M41% of 8,542
Nooseracwhale$9.6K+$1.3M57% of 2,847
ImFasterwhale$3.9K+$11K48% of 297
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "1H Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)"?

38 wallets hold a position worth $141K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them. The largest Chiefs holder is nigiri99, with $76K on it, $1.4M lifetime loss over 13,696 markets (46% won). The largest Dolphins holder is 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816, with $6.1K on it, $200K lifetime loss over 661 markets (44% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "1H Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)"?

Polymarket prices Chiefs at 96¢ and Dolphins at 5¢, a 96% implied chance of Chiefs. $148K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 27, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

11% of the money on Chiefs and 1% of the money on Dolphins is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Chiefs, by 10 points. A week ago, Chiefs by 10 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on September 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

1H Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo