Who's betting on “Chiefs vs. Dolphins: 1H Moneyline”?
Sports · $197K volume · Ends September 27, 2026 · Updated September 27, 2026
Polymarket prices Chiefs at 51¢ and Dolphins at 49¢, a 51% implied chance of Chiefs. $197K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 27, 2026.
23% of the money on Chiefs and 1% of the money on Dolphins is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Chiefs, by 22 points. A week ago, Chiefs by 22 points.
48 wallets hold a position worth $193K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Chiefs holder is nigiri99, with $55K on it, $1.4M lifetime loss over 13,658 markets (46% won). The largest Dolphins holder is 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816, with $93K on it, $200K lifetime loss over 660 markets (44% won).
- Smart money share
- 23%
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $99K
- Holders' winrate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 1%
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $95K
- Holders' winrate
- 30%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| nigiri99 | $55K | -$1.4M | 46% of 13,658 |
| 0x2f98…bd4c | $20K | -$75K | 94% of 36 |
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465whale | $6.3K | +$3.2M | 44% of 5,523 |
| 0x696A0F103AAb2daa93f0C7124BdFBBf19851E23A-1765573480594whale | $5.8K | +$47K | 89% of 263 |
| spartachiowhale | $3.8K | +$146K | 80% of 349 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | $93K | -$200K | 44% of 660 |
| 0xa697d0b3FFf7D285a0F92d6Ee03a7f97809E59d5-1774326306031whale | $1.1K | +$374K | 51% of 11,619 |
| 0x430Df9Fc7525788F162804eba5ad009bA1ae3f6a-1771798789585 | $192 | +$196K | 24% of 21,396 |
| 0x7d0E41915DD94259BBE9daE12d33B1C26D304f01-1778693791913 | $49 | -$4.6K | 48% of 5,266 |
| lbtrading | $4 | -$4.2K | 48% of 53,420 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Chiefs vs. Dolphins
- 1H Spread -6.5$148K vol.Chiefs 96%Dolphins 5%Smart money: Chiefs
- Chiefs vs. Dolphins$5.3M vol. · ClosedResolved ChiefsSmart money: Chiefs
- Spread -10.5$2.4M vol. · ClosedResolved ChiefsSmart money: Dolphins
- Spread -3.5$397K vol. · ClosedResolved ChiefsSmart money: Chiefs
- Spread -9.5$307K vol. · ClosedResolved ChiefsSmart money: Dolphins
- Spread -13.5$183K vol. · ClosedResolved ChiefsSmart money split
- O/U 45.5$141K vol. · ClosedResolved UnderSmart money: Over
- Spread -6.5$132K vol. · ClosedResolved ChiefsSmart money: Dolphins
- Spread -7.5$126K vol. · ClosedResolved ChiefsSmart money: Chiefs
- O/U 46.5$46K vol. · ClosedResolved UnderSmart money: Over
- O/U 52.5$35K vol. · ClosedResolved UnderSmart money split
- Spread -14.5$27K vol. · ClosedResolved DolphinsSmart money: Dolphins
- O/U 42.5$26K vol. · ClosedResolved UnderSmart money split
- O/U 48.5$25K vol. · ClosedResolved UnderSmart money split
- Spread -8.5$23K vol. · ClosedResolved ChiefsSmart money: Dolphins
- O/U 44.5$23K vol. · ClosedResolved UnderSmart money: Under
- Spread -16.5$23K vol. · ClosedResolved DolphinsSmart money split
- O/U 43.5$20K vol. · ClosedResolved UnderSmart money split
- O/U 47.5$15K vol. · ClosedResolved UnderSmart money split
- Spread -17.5$12K vol. · ClosedResolved DolphinsSmart money: Chiefs
- O/U 36.5$11K vol. · ClosedResolved UnderSmart money split
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Questions
Who is betting on "Chiefs vs. Dolphins: 1H Moneyline"?
48 wallets hold a position worth $193K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Chiefs holder is nigiri99, with $55K on it, $1.4M lifetime loss over 13,658 markets (46% won). The largest Dolphins holder is 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816, with $93K on it, $200K lifetime loss over 660 markets (44% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Chiefs vs. Dolphins: 1H Moneyline"?
Polymarket prices Chiefs at 51¢ and Dolphins at 49¢, a 51% implied chance of Chiefs. $197K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 27, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
23% of the money on Chiefs and 1% of the money on Dolphins is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Chiefs, by 22 points. A week ago, Chiefs by 22 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.