Who's betting on “Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)”?
Sports · $70K volume · Ends October 25, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Timberwolves at 68¢ and Raptors at 32¢, a 68% implied chance of Timberwolves. $70K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
13% of the money on Timberwolves and 33% of the money on Raptors is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Raptors, by 20 points.
78 wallets hold a position worth $65K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Timberwolves holder is RJW1, with $31K on it, $800K lifetime loss over 122 markets (98% won). The largest Raptors holder is nigiri99, with $13K on it, $1.3M lifetime loss over 14,768 markets (47% won).
- Smart money share
- 13%
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $45K
- Holders' winrate
- 88%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 33%
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $21K
- Holders' winrate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| RJW1 | $31K | -$800K | 98% of 122 |
| SunlineTickerwhale | $4.8K | +$331K | 71% of 1,269 |
| OldZz | $2.9K | -$13K | 66% of 180 |
| 0x3a8a…c016 | $2.4K | -$18K | 47% of 245 |
| traba | $1.0K | -$3.6K | 74% of 202 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| nigiri99 | $13K | -$1.3M | 47% of 14,768 |
| HomeRunHazardwhale | $3.1K | +$3.1M | 56% of 19,428 |
| VeryLucky888whale | $1.1K | +$428K | 60% of 54,800 |
| 0xa697d0b3FFf7D285a0F92d6Ee03a7f97809E59d5-1774326306031whale | $640 | +$383K | 52% of 12,887 |
| acorp | $424 | -$229K | 75% of 296 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Raptors vs. Timberwolves
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- Spread -3.5$465K vol.Timberwolves 72%Raptors 28%Smart money: Raptors
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- O/U 229.5$121K vol.Over 40%Under 60%Smart money: Under
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- O/U 231.5$71K vol.Over 35%Under 66%Smart money: Over
- Spread -2.5$68K vol.Raptors 17%Timberwolves 84%Smart money: Timberwolves
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 2.5$41K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Spread -2.5$40K vol.Timberwolves 75%Raptors 25%Smart money: Raptors
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 1.5$29K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- O/U 227.5$27K vol.Over 45%Under 55%Smart money: Over
- Spread -4.5$10K vol.Raptors 13%Timberwolves 88%Smart money: Timberwolves
- 1H Spread -1.5$6.1K vol.Timberwolves 87%Raptors 13%Smart money split
- Spread -5.5$6.1K vol.Timberwolves 65%Raptors 35%Smart money: Raptors
- Spread -6.5$6.0K vol.Timberwolves 62%Raptors 38%Smart money: Raptors
- O/U 233.5$5.7K vol.Over 30%Under 70%Smart money: Over
- O/U 223.5$4.9K vol.Over 55%Under 45%Smart money: Under
- Spread -8.5$4.1K vol.Timberwolves 55%Raptors 46%Smart money: Timberwolves
- O/U 239.5$3.3K vol.Over 19%Under 82%Smart money split
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)"?
78 wallets hold a position worth $65K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Timberwolves holder is RJW1, with $31K on it, $800K lifetime loss over 122 markets (98% won). The largest Raptors holder is nigiri99, with $13K on it, $1.3M lifetime loss over 14,768 markets (47% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)"?
Polymarket prices Timberwolves at 68¢ and Raptors at 32¢, a 68% implied chance of Timberwolves. $70K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
13% of the money on Timberwolves and 33% of the money on Raptors is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Raptors, by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.