Who's betting on “Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)”?
Sports · $60K volume · Ends October 26, 2026 · Updated October 26, 2026
Polymarket prices Cavaliers at 50¢ and Timberwolves at 51¢, a 51% implied chance of Timberwolves. $60K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 26, 2026.
18% of the money on Cavaliers and 76% of the money on Timberwolves is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Timberwolves, by 58 points.
80 wallets hold a position worth $39K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Cavaliers holder is FeedTheBigBird, with $15K on it, $43K lifetime loss over 37 markets (92% won). The largest Timberwolves holder is ferrariChampions2026, with $7.1K on it, $1.9M lifetime profit over 25,697 markets (57% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $2.8K on Timberwolves.
- Smart money share
- 18%
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $19K
- Holders' winrate
- 86%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 76%
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $20K
- Holders' winrate
- 71%
- Snipers
- 1 · $2.8K
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| FeedTheBigBird | $15K | -$43K | 92% of 37 |
| SunlineTickerwhale | $1.6K | +$334K | 71% of 1,340 |
| Herdoniawhale | $697 | +$108K | 62% of 2,689 |
| BullishBarbwhale | $426 | +$86K | 65% of 1,351 |
| syh3186balanced | $424 | +$45K | 53% of 515 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026whale | $7.1K | +$1.9M | 57% of 25,697 |
| clutchhitsniper | $2.8K | +$75K | 95% of 92 |
| 0x7f84…b057 | $1.3K | - | - |
| 739633786 | $1.3K | -$126K | 91% of 233 |
| RomanOne | $1.0K | -$406 | 49% of 301 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)"?
80 wallets hold a position worth $39K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Cavaliers holder is FeedTheBigBird, with $15K on it, $43K lifetime loss over 37 markets (92% won). The largest Timberwolves holder is ferrariChampions2026, with $7.1K on it, $1.9M lifetime profit over 25,697 markets (57% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)"?
Polymarket prices Cavaliers at 50¢ and Timberwolves at 51¢, a 51% implied chance of Timberwolves. $60K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 26, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
18% of the money on Cavaliers and 76% of the money on Timberwolves is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Timberwolves, by 58 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 26, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.