Who's betting on “Spread: Lakers (-3.5)”?
Smart money leans Warriors: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 26 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $818K traded all time
- Held now
- $679K by 301 wallets
- Smart share · Lakers
- 72% 185 scored holders
- Smart share · Warriors
- 97% 107 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Lakers at 43¢ and Warriors at 57¢, a 57% implied chance of Warriors. $818K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
72% of the money on Lakers and 97% of the money on Warriors is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Warriors, by 26 points.
Who holds it
301 wallets hold a position worth $679K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 292 of them. The largest Lakers holder is yabanci, with $77K on it, $96K lifetime profit over 127 markets (52% won). The largest Warriors holder is googleplay, with $132K on it, $2.0M lifetime profit over 55 markets (82% won).
Sharp money
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $25K on Lakers; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $132K on Warriors.
- Holders
- 185
- Money on it
- $489K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 2 · $25K
- Holders
- 116
- Money on it
- $190K
- Holders' win rate
- 83%
- Snipers
- 1 · $132K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsLakers$489K on it
- 1yabanci52% won of 127 · whale$77K+$96K lifetime
- 2HomeRunHazard56% won of 22,189 · whale$47K+$3.0M lifetime
- 3ferrariChampions202658% won of 29,254 · whale$45K+$2.4M lifetime
- 40x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-175993579546547% won of 6,201 · whale$45K+$4.4M lifetime
- 50xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-177925833018685% won of 655 · whale$36K+$257K lifetime
Warriors$190K on it
- 1googleplay82% won of 55 · sniper$132K+$2.0M lifetime
- 2monkeymashingkeyboard91% won of 718 · whale$42K+$1.1M lifetime
- 3BreakTheBank88% won of 679 · whale$2.7K+$11M lifetime
- 4nigiri9947% won of 17,318$2.0K−$1.3M lifetime
- 50xAbF543512f33E2D754ada028a689610139Cccfeb-176097440149496% won of 412 · whale$1.7K+$28K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Lakers vs. Warriors
24 more- Lakers vs. Warriors$2.2M vol.Lakers 54%Warriors 47%Smart money: Warriors
- O/U 235.5$237K vol.Over 14%Under 86%Smart money: Under
- Spread -2.5$124K vol.Lakers 48%Warriors 53%Smart money: Warriors
- O/U 233.5$116K vol.Over 18%Under 83%Smart money: Under
- Spread -1.5$53K vol.Lakers 52%Warriors 49%Smart money: Warriors
- Spread -9.5$40K vol.Lakers 21%Warriors 80%Smart money: Warriors
- O/U 225.5$29K vol.Over 37%Under 63%Smart money: Over
- O/U 234.5$24K vol.Over 15%Under 85%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -5.5$23K vol.Lakers 35%Warriors 65%Smart money: Warriors
- Spread -11.5$20K vol.Lakers 14%Warriors 86%Smart money: Lakers
- O/U 231.5$19K vol.Over 21%Under 80%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -17.5$17K vol.Lakers 6%Warriors 95%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -15.5$17K vol.Lakers 8%Warriors 93%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -7.5$17K vol.Lakers 28%Warriors 73%Smart money: Warriors
- Spread -6.5$14K vol.Lakers 31%Warriors 69%Too little scored money to compare
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5$13K vol.Yes 38%No 62%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 237.5$11K vol.Over 11%Under 89%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -13.5$9.4K vol.Lakers 10%Warriors 90%Too little scored money to compare
- 1H O/U 118.5$9.2K vol.Over 0%Under 100%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 217.5$9.1K vol.Over 63%Under 37%Too little scored money to compare
- 1H O/U 120.5$7.8K vol.Over 0%Under 100%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 227.5$7.5K vol.Over 31%Under 70%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -4.5$6.7K vol.Lakers 39%Warriors 61%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 219.5$6.3K vol.Over 55%Under 46%Smart money split
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- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Lakers (-3.5)"?
301 wallets hold a position worth $679K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 292 of them. The largest Lakers holder is yabanci, with $77K on it, $96K lifetime profit over 127 markets (52% won). The largest Warriors holder is googleplay, with $132K on it, $2.0M lifetime profit over 55 markets (82% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Lakers (-3.5)"?
Polymarket prices Lakers at 43¢ and Warriors at 57¢, a 57% implied chance of Warriors. $818K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Lakers and 97% of the money on Warriors is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Warriors, by 26 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.