Who's betting on “Spread: Lakers (-2.5)”?
Smart money leans Warriors: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 34 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $144K traded all time
- Held now
- $113K by 168 wallets
- Smart share · Lakers
- 48% 101 scored holders
- Smart share · Warriors
- 82% 66 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Lakers at 28¢ and Warriors at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of Warriors. $144K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
48% of the money on Lakers and 82% of the money on Warriors is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Warriors, by 34 points.
Who holds it
168 wallets hold a position worth $113K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 167 of them. The largest Lakers holder is HomeRunHazard, with $15K on it, $3.0M lifetime profit over 22,198 markets (56% won). The largest Warriors holder is zb8, with $8.0K on it, $576K lifetime profit over 1,175 markets (48% won).
- Holders
- 102
- Money on it
- $75K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 66
- Money on it
- $37K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsLakers$75K on it
- 1HomeRunHazard56% won of 22,198 · whale$15K+$3.0M lifetime
- 20x1B4d7cBD8DCe8A56Dd2c51E952cCCbF55F78e246-175945546240054% won of 216$10K−$517K lifetime
- 3hgawx65% won of 74 · whale$6.3K+$14K lifetime
- 4lfh168867% won of 236$5.1K−$40K lifetime
- 5nigiri9947% won of 17,327$4.9K−$1.3M lifetime
Warriors$37K on it
- 1zb848% won of 1,175 · whale$8.0K+$576K lifetime
- 2SunlineTicker72% won of 1,569 · whale$7.9K+$330K lifetime
- 3monkeymashingkeyboard91% won of 718 · whale$6.6K+$1.1M lifetime
- 4ferrariChampions202658% won of 29,282 · whale$4.9K+$2.4M lifetime
- 5ComingBack97% won of 667$3.3K−$661K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Lakers vs. Warriors
24 more- Lakers vs. Warriors$2.8M vol.Lakers 36%Warriors 65%Smart money: Warriors
- Spread -3.5$836K vol.Lakers 23%Warriors 78%Smart money: Warriors
- O/U 235.5$237K vol.Over 11%Under 90%Smart money: Under
- O/U 233.5$119K vol.Over 13%Under 87%Smart money: Under
- O/U 221.5$89K vol.Over 51%Under 50%Smart money: Over
- Spread -1.5$82K vol.Lakers 32%Warriors 69%Smart money: Warriors
- O/U 219.5$68K vol.Over 59%Under 41%Smart money: Over
- Spread -9.5$44K vol.Lakers 6%Warriors 95%Smart money: Warriors
- O/U 225.5$34K vol.Over 34%Under 66%Smart money: Over
- Spread -11.5$30K vol.Lakers 3%Warriors 97%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -5.5$29K vol.Lakers 16%Warriors 85%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 217.5$27K vol.Over 69%Under 32%Smart money: Under
- Spread -7.5$26K vol.Lakers 10%Warriors 90%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 234.5$24K vol.Over 11%Under 90%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 231.5$21K vol.Over 17%Under 83%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -6.5$20K vol.Lakers 13%Warriors 87%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -15.5$20K vol.Lakers 1%Warriors 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -17.5$17K vol.Lakers 1%Warriors 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -13.5$15K vol.Lakers 2%Warriors 98%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 215.5$13K vol.Over 75%Under 25%Too little scored money to compare
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5$13K vol.Yes 57%No 43%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 213.5$13K vol.Over 82%Under 18%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -4.5$12K vol.Lakers 18%Warriors 83%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 237.5$12K vol.Over 9%Under 92%Too little scored money to compare
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$38M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.4M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Too little scored money to compare
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Lakers (-2.5)"?
168 wallets hold a position worth $113K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 167 of them. The largest Lakers holder is HomeRunHazard, with $15K on it, $3.0M lifetime profit over 22,198 markets (56% won). The largest Warriors holder is zb8, with $8.0K on it, $576K lifetime profit over 1,175 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Lakers (-2.5)"?
Polymarket prices Lakers at 28¢ and Warriors at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of Warriors. $144K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
48% of the money on Lakers and 82% of the money on Warriors is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Warriors, by 34 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.