Who's betting on “Spread: Thunder (-20.5)”?
Sports · $3.1K volume · Ends October 25, 2026 · Updated October 26, 2026
Polymarket prices Thunder at 3¢ and Clippers at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of Clippers. $3.1K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
87% of the money on Thunder and 29% of the money on Clippers is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Thunder, by 58 points.
25 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 25 of them. The largest Thunder holder is HomeRunHazard, with $22 on it, $3.1M lifetime profit over 19,554 markets (56% won). The largest Clippers holder is Pui2026, with $958 on it, $10K lifetime loss over 379 markets (44% won).
- Smart money share
- 87%
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $51
- Holders' winrate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 29%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' winrate
- 55%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| HomeRunHazardwhale | $22 | +$3.1M | 56% of 19,554 |
| Flaznorpwhale | $12 | +$1.4M | 53% of 127,507 |
| 0x842c…1871 | $5 | -$196 | 88% of 259 |
| 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872whale | $4 | +$883K | 58% of 17,121 |
| capitalpiston2whale | $2 | +$14K | 85% of 4,511 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pui2026 | $958 | -$10K | 44% of 379 |
| lyasya | $400 | -$978 | 53% of 262 |
| mommydualipawhale | $195 | +$9.9K | 96% of 225 |
| Absingwhale | $98 | +$113K | 60% of 4,003 |
| MaxFomowhale | $98 | +$27K | 66% of 3,614 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Clippers vs. Thunder
- Spread -16.5$1.9M vol.Thunder 4%Clippers 96%Smart money: Thunder
- Clippers vs. Thunder$909K vol.Clippers 24%Thunder 77%Smart money split
- O/U 223.5$173K vol.Over 16%Under 85%Smart money: Under
- Spread -15.5$150K vol.Thunder 5%Clippers 95%Smart money: Thunder
- Spread -13.5$139K vol.Thunder 8%Clippers 93%Smart money: Thunder
- Spread -10.5$98K vol.Thunder 17%Clippers 83%Smart money: Clippers
- Spread -17.5$83K vol.Thunder 2%Clippers 98%Smart money: Clippers
- O/U 221.5$51K vol.Over 18%Under 83%Smart money: Under
- Spread -11.5$48K vol.Thunder 13%Clippers 87%Smart money: Thunder
- O/U 225.5$42K vol.Over 12%Under 88%Smart money split
- Spread -18.5$37K vol.Thunder 3%Clippers 97%Smart money: Clippers
- Spread -14.5$31K vol.Thunder 6%Clippers 95%Smart money: Thunder
- Spread -12.5$17K vol.Thunder 10%Clippers 90%Smart money split
- O/U 205.5$15K vol.Over 88%Under 12%Smart money: Over
- O/U 219.5$14K vol.Over 21%Under 80%Smart money: Over
- Spread -6.5$13K vol.Thunder 44%Clippers 56%Smart money: Clippers
- O/U 207.5$11K vol.Over 82%Under 18%Smart money split
- O/U 203.5$8.7K vol.Over 95%Under 6%Smart money: Over
- Spread -19.5$8.4K vol.Thunder 3%Clippers 97%Smart money split
- O/U 209.5$8.2K vol.Over 73%Under 28%Smart money split
- Spread -4.5$6.9K vol.Thunder 57%Clippers 43%Smart money: Thunder
- O/U 235.5$6.5K vol.Over 6%Under 94%Smart money: Under
- O/U 217.5$6.4K vol.Over 32%Under 69%Smart money: Under
- O/U 227.5$6.1K vol.Over 8%Under 92%Smart money: Under
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$36M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.8M vol.Yes 71%No 29%Smart money: No
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.2M vol.Yes 17%No 83%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$6.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.4M vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Thunder (-20.5)"?
25 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 25 of them. The largest Thunder holder is HomeRunHazard, with $22 on it, $3.1M lifetime profit over 19,554 markets (56% won). The largest Clippers holder is Pui2026, with $958 on it, $10K lifetime loss over 379 markets (44% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Thunder (-20.5)"?
Polymarket prices Thunder at 3¢ and Clippers at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of Clippers. $3.1K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Thunder and 29% of the money on Clippers is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Thunder, by 58 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.