Who's betting on “Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $201K traded all time
- Held now
- $36K by 230 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 92 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 83% 136 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $201K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
Who holds it
230 wallets hold a position worth $36K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 228 of them. The largest Yes holder is Arman2, with $1.9K on it, $100 lifetime profit over 334 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is eCash, with $7.3K on it, $288K lifetime profit over 691 markets (68% won).
- Holders
- 92
- Money on it
- $4.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 138
- Money on it
- $31K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.7K on it
- 1Arman265% won of 334 · whale$1.9K+$100 lifetime
- 2Dontyouworry70% won of 20 · balanced$489+$203 lifetime
- 3willsom72% won of 236 · whale$277+$47K lifetime
- 40x829641A28D0AB3876fC39D0713241F0972ccB820-172221503445077% won of 43$273−$1.2K lifetime
- 5cambridgeisaac57% won of 1,129 · whale$234+$67K lifetime
No$31K on it
- 1eCash68% won of 691 · whale$7.3K+$288K lifetime
- 2WarriorPooh53% won of 271 · whale$5.0K+$171K lifetime
- 3Sdfghji65% won of 210 · balanced$3.5K+$17K lifetime
- 4RdogTest88% won of 17$2.1K+$5 lifetime
- 508052691% won of 11$1.7K+$712 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
2 more- November 30$204K vol.Yes 53%No 48%Smart money split
- October 15$38K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?"?
230 wallets hold a position worth $36K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 228 of them. The largest Yes holder is Arman2, with $1.9K on it, $100 lifetime profit over 334 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is eCash, with $7.3K on it, $288K lifetime profit over 691 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $201K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.