Who's betting on “Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $204K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 134 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 89% 69 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 89% 64 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 50¢ and No at 50¢, a 50% implied chance of Yes. $204K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
The smart money
89% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 14 points.
Who holds it
134 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 133 of them. The largest Yes holder is theta-thunberg, with $1.6K on it, $66K lifetime profit over 1,095 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is willsom, with $2.5K on it, $47K lifetime profit over 237 markets (72% won).
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $5.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 65
- Money on it
- $5.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.6K on it
- 1theta-thunberg56% won of 1,095 · whale$1.6K+$66K lifetime
- 2iHaveBeenPwned80% won of 5$985+$2.3K lifetime
- 3cambridgeisaac57% won of 1,129 · whale$724+$67K lifetime
- 40x7678…22a366% won of 216 · whale$411+$24K lifetime
- 5meagainsttheworld76% won of 1,058 · whale$334+$142K lifetime
No$5.8K on it
- 1willsom72% won of 237 · whale$2.5K+$47K lifetime
- 2eCash68% won of 691 · whale$1.6K+$288K lifetime
- 3rocky4201351% won of 983$276−$12K lifetime
- 4Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,956 · whale$218+$163K lifetime
- 5Konfucious68% won of 512 · balanced$179+$9.8K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
2 more- October 31$201K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money split
- October 15$38K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?"?
134 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 133 of them. The largest Yes holder is theta-thunberg, with $1.6K on it, $66K lifetime profit over 1,095 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is willsom, with $2.5K on it, $47K lifetime profit over 237 markets (72% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 50¢ and No at 50¢, a 50% implied chance of Yes. $204K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
89% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.