
Who's betting on “Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $65K traded all time
- Held now
- $32K by 55 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 22 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 69% 30 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $65K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
55 wallets hold a position worth $32K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x223f7E0048CF2cDDb41dcE5F17454b52c3b0a193-1784054505031, with $919 on it, $815 lifetime profit over 39 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is aviato, with $9.3K on it, $204K lifetime profit over 1,417 markets (78% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $2 on Yes.
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 1 · $2
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $31K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.3K on it
- 10x223f7E0048CF2cDDb41dcE5F17454b52c3b0a193-178405450503167% won of 39 · balanced$919+$815 lifetime
- 2LazyMFno record yet$167+$0 lifetime
- 30x0745aDE57D00dF793AC60225d773126896c84A1b-178187362467649% won of 114 · balanced$69+$6.5K lifetime
- 4Avi97100% won of 1$54+$486 lifetime
- 50xd89b…6e2ano record yet$22
No$31K on it
- 1aviato78% won of 1,417 · whale$9.3K+$204K lifetime
- 20x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-176070367496065% won of 410 · whale$9.0K+$129K lifetime
- 3stupid2294% won of 1,000$8.6K−$109K lifetime
- 4HerrieDavis63% won of 2,809 · whale$864+$329K lifetime
- 50x84fdf3382Af0BdCF7D8e6272f477334CAC442f81-173394411441492% won of 221 · grinder$384+$4.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?"?
55 wallets hold a position worth $32K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x223f7E0048CF2cDDb41dcE5F17454b52c3b0a193-1784054505031, with $919 on it, $815 lifetime profit over 39 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is aviato, with $9.3K on it, $204K lifetime profit over 1,417 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $65K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.