Who's betting on “Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 20 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $76K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 105 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 55 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 50 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $76K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
Who holds it
105 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 105 of them. The largest Yes holder is taerv534, with $139 on it, $89K lifetime profit over 221 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $5.8K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $588
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 50
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$588 on it
- 1taerv53438% won of 221 · noise$139+$89K lifetime
- 2Calin5no record yet$77+$0 lifetime
- 3polymorpher-accumulator80% won of 10$63+$5.8K lifetime
- 4sasnaxno record yet$61+$1.2K lifetime
- 5PMPAndrew34% won of 218 · noise$38+$1.2K lifetime
No$15K on it
- 1tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$5.8K+$973K lifetime
- 2M2sx92kljs4278% won of 517 · whale$4.3K+$61K lifetime
- 3XAE12Archangel75% won of 1,080 · whale$962+$222K lifetime
- 4truthteller63% won of 1,095 · whale$735+$147K lifetime
- 5slapp83% won of 53 · balanced$514+$404 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?"?
105 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 105 of them. The largest Yes holder is taerv534, with $139 on it, $89K lifetime profit over 221 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $5.8K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $76K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.