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Who's betting on “Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?”?

Politics$116K traded148 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
37%Yes
63%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 33 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$116K
traded all time
Held now
$43K
by 148 wallets
Smart share · Yes
63%
83 scored holders
Smart share · No
96%
65 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 37¢ and No at 63¢, a 63% implied chance of No. $116K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

63% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.

Who holds it

148 wallets hold a position worth $43K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 148 of them. The largest Yes holder is truthteller, with $6.8K on it, $147K lifetime profit over 1,095 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $12K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).

Yes37%
Smart money share63% ▼ 19 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 81%a day ago 82%now 63%
Holders
83
Money on it
$16K
Holders' win rate
63%
No63%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share96%
7 days ago 91%a day ago 96%now 96%
Holders
65
Money on it
$27K
Holders' win rate
70%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$16K on it

  1. 1truthteller63% won of 1,095 · whale$6.8K+$147K lifetime
  2. 2TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 490$4.0K−$52K lifetime
  3. 3vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$1.2K+$170K lifetime
  4. 40x9b1F993FAFD41Fe7EECB5C13a219cbe6EE0bF250-177835042875063% won of 16$741+$3.6K lifetime
  5. 5bonalddrunk60% won of 378$634−$13K lifetime

No$27K on it

  1. 1tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$12K+$973K lifetime
  2. 2M2sx92kljs4278% won of 517 · whale$4.7K+$61K lifetime
  3. 3LJa7io23MCv954j87% won of 134 · whale$4.7K+$2.6K lifetime
  4. 4D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$1.9K+$85K lifetime
  5. 5XAE12Archangel75% won of 1,080 · whale$590+$222K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?"?

148 wallets hold a position worth $43K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 148 of them. The largest Yes holder is truthteller, with $6.8K on it, $147K lifetime profit over 1,095 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $12K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 37¢ and No at 63¢, a 63% implied chance of No. $116K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

63% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.