Who's betting on “Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $22K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.2K by 53 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 61% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 98% 22 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
61% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 36 points. A week ago, No by 26 points.
Who holds it
53 wallets hold a position worth $3.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is taerv534, with $12 on it, $89K lifetime profit over 221 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $1.4K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $59
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $3.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$59 on it
- 1taerv53438% won of 221 · noise$12+$89K lifetime
- 2Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$6+$801K lifetime
- 3garbagecollect266% won of 1,896 · whale$4+$30K lifetime
- 4Numitus199449% won of 15,720$4−$28K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$3+$255K lifetime
No$3.1K on it
- 1tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$1.4K+$973K lifetime
- 2M2sx92kljs4278% won of 517 · whale$802+$61K lifetime
- 3💰💰54% won of 275 · balanced$484+$8.3K lifetime
- 4wienerdog56% won of 332 · whale$162+$21K lifetime
- 5JPLP52% won of 1,030 · whale$98+$39K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Ilhan Omar arrested by...?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?"?
53 wallets hold a position worth $3.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is taerv534, with $12 on it, $89K lifetime profit over 221 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $1.4K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
61% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 36 points. A week ago, No by 26 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.