Who's betting on “Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 73 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $46K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 79 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 21% 47 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 31 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $46K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
21% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 56 points. A week ago, No by 39 points.
Who holds it
79 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is TheWindKnowsmyName, with $836 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 490 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $5.6K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $3.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $12K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.2K on it
- 1TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 490$836−$52K lifetime
- 2Cainezno record yet$597+$0 lifetime
- 3difrisco37% won of 202$358−$7.7K lifetime
- 4melonmanm58% won of 986 · whale$340+$56K lifetime
- 5propunter3421100% won of 6$233−$56 lifetime
No$12K on it
- 1tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$5.6K+$973K lifetime
- 2JPLP52% won of 1,030 · whale$1.9K+$39K lifetime
- 3M2sx92kljs4278% won of 517 · whale$1.5K+$61K lifetime
- 4dontshowmyname83% won of 224 · whale$665+$42K lifetime
- 5aliaspopeye51% won of 367$455−$383 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?"?
79 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is TheWindKnowsmyName, with $836 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 490 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $5.6K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $46K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
21% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 56 points. A week ago, No by 39 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.