Who's betting on “IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $104K traded all time
- Held now
- $22K by 95 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 93% 59 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $104K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.
Who holds it
95 wallets hold a position worth $22K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is eightpenguins, with $29 on it, $316K lifetime profit over 538 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is enrico-vasaio, with $8.1K on it, $23K lifetime profit over 1,070 markets (65% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $269 on No.
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $54
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Holders
- 59
- Money on it
- $22K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 1 · $269
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$54 on it
- 1eightpenguins72% won of 538 · whale$29+$316K lifetime
- 2Valen962% won of 900 · whale$8+$231K lifetime
- 3cashy74% won of 1,037 · whale$4+$573K lifetime
- 4troim66% won of 819 · whale$2+$90K lifetime
- 5SuperMister40% won of 285$2−$94 lifetime
No$22K on it
- 1enrico-vasaio65% won of 1,070 · whale$8.1K+$23K lifetime
- 2nope305061% won of 169 · balanced$2.5K+$4.0K lifetime
- 3Marc34582% won of 11$2.0K+$1.3K lifetime
- 4RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$1.9K+$819K lifetime
- 5DawnOfYemen75% won of 1,107 · whale$1.1K+$31K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?"?
95 wallets hold a position worth $22K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is eightpenguins, with $29 on it, $316K lifetime profit over 538 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is enrico-vasaio, with $8.1K on it, $23K lifetime profit over 1,070 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $104K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.