Who's betting on “IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $153K traded all time
- Held now
- $25K by 99 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 39 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 79% 60 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $153K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
99 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 99 of them. The largest Yes holder is Valen9, with $1.8K on it, $231K lifetime profit over 900 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is nope3050, with $4.5K on it, $4.0K lifetime profit over 169 markets (61% won).
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $4.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 60
- Money on it
- $21K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.2K on it
- 1Valen962% won of 900 · whale$1.8K+$231K lifetime
- 2eightpenguins72% won of 538 · whale$866+$316K lifetime
- 3limetasx80% won of 45$396−$44K lifetime
- 4pakukudolphi45% won of 326 · noise$389+$136K lifetime
- 5cashy74% won of 1,037 · whale$230+$573K lifetime
No$21K on it
- 1nope305061% won of 169 · balanced$4.5K+$4.0K lifetime
- 2RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$3.8K+$819K lifetime
- 3enrico-vasaio65% won of 1,070 · whale$2.9K+$23K lifetime
- 4Mr-Krabs75% won of 871 · whale$1.6K+$50K lifetime
- 5hopedieslast61% won of 233 · whale$1.5K+$260K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?"?
99 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 99 of them. The largest Yes holder is Valen9, with $1.8K on it, $231K lifetime profit over 900 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is nope3050, with $4.5K on it, $4.0K lifetime profit over 169 markets (61% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $153K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.