Who's betting on “Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 7 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.0K by 58 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 95% 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 34 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 30¢ and No at 71¢, a 71% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
The smart money
95% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points.
Who holds it
58 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is theta-thunberg, with $317 on it, $66K lifetime profit over 1,095 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $1.4K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,242 markets (48% won).
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.2K on it
- 1theta-thunberg56% won of 1,095 · whale$317+$66K lifetime
- 2Arman265% won of 334 · whale$269+$100 lifetime
- 3DawnOfYemen75% won of 1,107 · whale$118+$31K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$102+$254K lifetime
- 5rocky4200352% won of 1,298 · whale$88+$35K lifetime
No$2.8K on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,242 · whale$1.4K+$203K lifetime
- 2frozenriver78% won of 247 · whale$226+$227K lifetime
- 30xD056D2E765630Ee61850a7c743A30E20D2E2F1be-176451277003187% won of 226 · grinder$210+$7.3K lifetime
- 4mr.lame55% won of 223 · balanced$141+$878 lifetime
- 5Konfucious68% won of 512 · balanced$106+$9.8K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?"?
58 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is theta-thunberg, with $317 on it, $66K lifetime profit over 1,095 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $1.4K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,242 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 30¢ and No at 71¢, a 71% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
95% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.