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Who's betting on “Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?”?

Politics$11K traded67 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
36%Yes
64%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 23 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$11K
traded all time
Held now
$4.2K
by 67 wallets
Smart share · Yes
69%
37 scored holders
Smart share · No
91%
29 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 36¢ and No at 64¢, a 64% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

69% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points.

Who holds it

67 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is outcomes, with $462 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 234 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is adenakoz1, with $819 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 233 markets (30% won).

Yes36%
Smart money share69%
Holders
37
Money on it
$1.5K
Holders' win rate
45%
No64%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share91%
Holders
30
Money on it
$2.6K
Holders' win rate
53%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.5K on it

  1. 1outcomes42% won of 234 · noise$462+$15K lifetime
  2. 2yungsoleimani61% won of 243 · balanced$186+$1.5K lifetime
  3. 30x91c3…409f45% won of 434$87+$7.9K lifetime
  4. 4win082118% won of 57$68−$287 lifetime
  5. 5GuyFromTinder37% won of 22,344$61−$89K lifetime

No$2.6K on it

  1. 1adenakoz130% won of 233 · noise$819+$11K lifetime
  2. 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,242 · whale$676+$203K lifetime
  3. 30xD056D2E765630Ee61850a7c743A30E20D2E2F1be-176451277003187% won of 226 · grinder$583+$7.3K lifetime
  4. 4crypto-basenji47% won of 409 · whale$158+$3.6K lifetime
  5. 5mr.lame55% won of 223 · balanced$64+$878 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?"?

67 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is outcomes, with $462 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 234 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is adenakoz1, with $819 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 233 markets (30% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 36¢ and No at 64¢, a 64% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

69% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.