Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 31?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.3K by 140 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 71 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 69 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
140 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 140 of them. The largest Yes holder is okx1-4, with $1 on it, $181 lifetime loss over 42 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is Sylar012, with $1.0K on it, $5.2K lifetime profit over 2,983 markets (99% won).
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $4.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 90%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3 on it
- 1okx1-481% won of 42$1−$181 lifetime
- 2dp.93% won of 2,247 · grinder$0+$1.2K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 18,353 · noise$0+$28K lifetime
- 4Istaroth46% won of 46,491$0−$778K lifetime
- 5ChaosStake37% won of 746$0−$3.1K lifetime
No$4.3K on it
- 1Sylar01299% won of 2,983 · whale$1.0K+$5.2K lifetime
- 2Liou-No298% won of 1,258$489−$1.6K lifetime
- 30xf6D0F4F665f6D3a8d6749675e8819Fb412CD3c67-176503271042799% won of 1,577 · grinder$400+$79 lifetime
- 41DVSBSTD99% won of 12,076 · whale$300+$2.7K lifetime
- 5RayRay-66699% won of 909$271−$1.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 31?
1 moreOther big weather markets
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- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$808K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$361K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$342K vol.Yes 99%No 1%Too little scored money to compare
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 31?"?
140 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 140 of them. The largest Yes holder is okx1-4, with $1 on it, $181 lifetime loss over 42 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is Sylar012, with $1.0K on it, $5.2K lifetime profit over 2,983 markets (99% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.