Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 31?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.6K by 186 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 63% 86 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 100 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
186 wallets hold a position worth $6.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 186 of them. The largest Yes holder is Sylar012, with $2.0K on it, $5.2K lifetime profit over 2,983 markets (99% won). The largest No holder is samalitopshen, with $0 on it, $1.0K lifetime profit over 8,280 markets (98% won).
- Holders
- 86
- Money on it
- $6.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
- Holders
- 100
- Money on it
- $2
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$6.6K on it
- 1Sylar01299% won of 2,983 · whale$2.0K+$5.2K lifetime
- 2Baccck99% won of 86 · balanced$747+$1.0K lifetime
- 3hfv40% won of 51,256$467−$146K lifetime
- 4ChaosStake37% won of 746$400−$3.1K lifetime
- 5holysits97% won of 74$349+$73 lifetime
No$2 on it
- 1samalitopshen98% won of 8,280 · whale$0+$1.0K lifetime
- 224153253243259% won of 7,388 · balanced$0+$14K lifetime
- 3qqqppp-l138% won of 7,465 · noise$0+$10K lifetime
- 4rocky4200449% won of 883$0−$15K lifetime
- 5Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 17,146 · whale$0+$166K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 31?
1 moreOther big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 8%No 92%Too little scored money to compare
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$808K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$361K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$342K vol.Yes 99%No 1%Too little scored money to compare
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 31?"?
186 wallets hold a position worth $6.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 186 of them. The largest Yes holder is Sylar012, with $2.0K on it, $5.2K lifetime profit over 2,983 markets (99% won). The largest No holder is samalitopshen, with $0 on it, $1.0K lifetime profit over 8,280 markets (98% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.