Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.0K by 170 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 71 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 67% 99 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 20, 2026.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 20 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
Who holds it
170 wallets hold a position worth $7.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 170 of them.
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $110
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Holders
- 99
- Money on it
- $6.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Munich on October 20?
3 more- 9°C$13K vol.Yes 96%No 4%Smart money split
- 11°C$11K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- 15°C$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20?"?
170 wallets hold a position worth $7.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 170 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 20, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 20 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 20, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.