Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 20?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.2K by 132 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 65% 84 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 68% 46 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 20, 2026.
The smart money
65% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
132 wallets hold a position worth $8.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 130 of them.
- Holders
- 86
- Money on it
- $7.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $274
- Holders' win rate
- 90%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Munich on October 20?
3 more- 10°C$16K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 11°C$11K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- 15°C$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 20?"?
132 wallets hold a position worth $8.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 130 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 20?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 20, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
65% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 20, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.