Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.4K by 132 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 28% 63 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 69 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
132 wallets hold a position worth $9.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 132 of them. The largest Yes holder is aapang, with $3.5K on it, $2.6K lifetime loss over 1,120 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $0 on it, $165K lifetime profit over 16,649 markets (56% won).
- Holders
- 63
- Money on it
- $9.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$9.4K on it
- 1aapang43% won of 1,120$3.5K−$2.6K lifetime
- 20x3B1f23C8e86bBAee32E8Db6D773277B30a81C9c3-177828867296198% won of 309$1.4K−$160 lifetime
- 30xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-17788104644939% won of 35,200 · noise$1.2K+$23K lifetime
- 4Tiou65% won of 88$569−$103 lifetime
- 5metwrong85% won of 121 · balanced$350+$1.6K lifetime
No$3 on it
- 1Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 16,649 · whale$0+$165K lifetime
- 2Bilberry65% won of 7,314 · whale$0+$50K lifetime
- 3macc-567% won of 228$0−$495 lifetime
- 40x142ADCc6031232974212581D5882dC25dE02a44A-177222695860542% won of 421 · noise$0+$159 lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 17,205 · noise$0+$28K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 30?
2 moreOther big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 8%No 92%Too little scored money to compare
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$808K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 99%No 1%Too little scored money to compare
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30?"?
132 wallets hold a position worth $9.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 132 of them. The largest Yes holder is aapang, with $3.5K on it, $2.6K lifetime loss over 1,120 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $0 on it, $165K lifetime profit over 16,649 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.