Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $25K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.6K by 118 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 77 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 41 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
118 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them. The largest Yes holder is Lapetite202, with $2 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is Tiou, with $839 on it, $103 lifetime loss over 88 markets (65% won).
- Holders
- 77
- Money on it
- $5
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $3.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5 on it
- 1Lapetite202no record yet$2+$0 lifetime
- 2Bilberry65% won of 7,343 · whale$1+$50K lifetime
- 3WeatherHK249% won of 531 · whale$0+$28K lifetime
- 4CreamCream121541% won of 391 · noise$0+$17K lifetime
- 5edgewarehouse37% won of 12,561 · noise$0+$32K lifetime
No$3.6K on it
- 1Tiou65% won of 88$839−$103 lifetime
- 20x8888B90% won of 107 · grinder$799+$267 lifetime
- 3laoli66877% won of 542$400−$53K lifetime
- 424153253243258% won of 7,013 · balanced$360+$14K lifetime
- 50x3B1f23C8e86bBAee32E8Db6D773277B30a81C9c3-177828867296198% won of 309$320−$160 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?"?
118 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them. The largest Yes holder is Lapetite202, with $2 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is Tiou, with $839 on it, $103 lifetime loss over 88 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.