Who's betting on “Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 44 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $45K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.7K by 72 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 92% 35 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 47% 35 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 39¢ and No at 61¢, a 61% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
92% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 34 points. A week ago, Yes by 61 points.
Who holds it
72 wallets hold a position worth $4.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is Snoorrason, with $957 on it, $201K lifetime profit over 470 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is donthackme, with $288 on it, $829K lifetime profit over 86,904 markets (29% won).
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $3.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 40%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.3K on it
- 1Snoorrason41% won of 470 · noise$957+$201K lifetime
- 2buoys46% won of 1,244 · whale$850+$83K lifetime
- 3rabbit00745% won of 299 · noise$323+$44K lifetime
- 4K80PRO56% won of 901$216−$577 lifetime
- 5aljarreau54% won of 314 · balanced$153+$1.1K lifetime
No$1.4K on it
- 1donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$288+$829K lifetime
- 2tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$208−$217K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$175−$377K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$163+$334K lifetime
- 5neverhackme31% won of 14,831 · noise$98+$7.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?
2 more- Jon Ossoff$65K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money: No
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$36K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?"?
72 wallets hold a position worth $4.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is Snoorrason, with $957 on it, $201K lifetime profit over 470 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is donthackme, with $288 on it, $829K lifetime profit over 86,904 markets (29% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 39¢ and No at 61¢, a 61% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 34 points. A week ago, Yes by 61 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.