Who's betting on “Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $36K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.9K by 79 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 49 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 74% 29 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 40 points.
Who holds it
79 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is Snoorrason, with $262 on it, $201K lifetime profit over 470 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is Mandalorec, with $442 on it, $3.2K lifetime profit over 286 markets (63% won).
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $961
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $908
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$961 on it
- 1Snoorrason41% won of 470 · noise$262+$201K lifetime
- 2TradeDeficitArchitect61% won of 1,006 · whale$217+$188K lifetime
- 3ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$124+$313K lifetime
- 4K80PRO56% won of 901$47−$577 lifetime
- 5gambler92551% won of 535 · whale$45+$6.7K lifetime
No$908 on it
- 1Mandalorec63% won of 286 · balanced$442+$3.2K lifetime
- 2Antony8267% won of 712 · balanced$174+$3.7K lifetime
- 3Lamegawi65% won of 642$95−$373 lifetime
- 4Forch67% won of 295$57−$474 lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$33−$377K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?
2 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?"?
79 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is Snoorrason, with $262 on it, $201K lifetime profit over 470 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is Mandalorec, with $442 on it, $3.2K lifetime profit over 286 markets (63% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 40 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.