Who's betting on “Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 35 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $30K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.2K by 59 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 55% 30 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 29 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
55% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 29 points.
Who holds it
59 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is bernardbulletin, with $325 on it, $198K lifetime profit over 1,126 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is Fulgurator, with $3.3K on it, $22K lifetime profit over 98 markets (88% won).
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $780
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $4.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$780 on it
- 1bernardbulletin75% won of 1,126 · whale$325+$198K lifetime
- 24rchibald4rchy4rmstrong80% won of 91$157−$1.7K lifetime
- 3TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 497$140−$52K lifetime
- 4bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$43+$5.1K lifetime
- 5deboonker53% won of 437 · balanced$30+$577 lifetime
No$4.4K on it
- 1Fulgurator88% won of 98 · balanced$3.3K+$22K lifetime
- 2ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$233+$313K lifetime
- 3mtb84100% won of 2$200+$6 lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$199−$378K lifetime
- 5Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$75+$560 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?"?
59 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is bernardbulletin, with $325 on it, $198K lifetime profit over 1,126 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is Fulgurator, with $3.3K on it, $22K lifetime profit over 98 markets (88% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
55% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 29 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.