Who's betting on “Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?”?
Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 5 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $21K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.9K by 54 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 18 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 6 points.
Who holds it
54 wallets hold a position worth $7.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is spartatrading, with $13 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 1,291 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is Fulgurator, with $5.0K on it, $22K lifetime profit over 98 markets (88% won).
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $43
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $7.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 82%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$43 on it
- 1spartatrading44% won of 1,291 · whale$13+$27K lifetime
- 2bernardbulletin75% won of 1,126 · whale$8+$198K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,970 · noise$7+$28K lifetime
- 44rchibald4rchy4rmstrong80% won of 91$3−$1.7K lifetime
- 5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$2−$485K lifetime
No$7.8K on it
- 1Fulgurator88% won of 98 · balanced$5.0K+$22K lifetime
- 20x6c10…df5c66% won of 1,065$720−$70K lifetime
- 3The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA69% won of 1,117 · whale$522+$1.8M lifetime
- 4mtb84100% won of 2$489+$6 lifetime
- 5yen4u94% won of 1,418 · whale$378+$81K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?"?
54 wallets hold a position worth $7.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is spartatrading, with $13 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 1,291 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is Fulgurator, with $5.0K on it, $22K lifetime profit over 98 markets (88% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.