Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 12 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $53K traded all time
- Held now
- $14K by 199 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 61% 114 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 73% 85 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $53K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
61% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points.
Who holds it
199 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 199 of them. The largest Yes holder is BigMackyG, with $1.1K on it, $43K lifetime profit over 228 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is 0xf14e…6173, with $2.9K on it, $19K lifetime profit over 145 markets (86% won).
- Holders
- 114
- Money on it
- $6.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 39%
- Holders
- 85
- Money on it
- $7.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$6.2K on it
- 1BigMackyG71% won of 228 · whale$1.1K+$43K lifetime
- 2Mei-ji25% won of 1,052$1.0K−$17K lifetime
- 3Sugarina6% won of 669 · noise$480+$9.9K lifetime
- 4RickRockRick26% won of 361 · noise$464+$9.3K lifetime
- 5ElonSimp54% won of 568 · whale$433+$12K lifetime
No$7.6K on it
- 10xf14e…617386% won of 145 · balanced$2.9K+$19K lifetime
- 2touxie58% won of 173 · balanced$828+$3.2K lifetime
- 3bipbipbop51% won of 1,989 · whale$377+$106K lifetime
- 40xPoni-Elon47% won of 365 · balanced$280+$3.7K lifetime
- 5pykue56% won of 960$264−$17K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Elon Musk # tweets October 29 - October 31, 2026?
9 more- 165-189$72K vol.Yes 31%No 69%Smart money: Yes
- 240+$63K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- 90-114$62K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- 140-164$62K vol.Yes 45%No 55%Smart money: No
- 190-214$54K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Too little scored money to compare
- 215-239$48K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- <40$34K vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
- 65-89$33K vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
- 40-64$24K vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?"?
199 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 199 of them. The largest Yes holder is BigMackyG, with $1.1K on it, $43K lifetime profit over 228 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is 0xf14e…6173, with $2.9K on it, $19K lifetime profit over 145 markets (86% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $53K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
61% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.