Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.1K by 33 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 15 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 18 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 76¢ and No at 25¢, a 76% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
33 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 33 of them. The largest Yes holder is lilith275, with $1.0K on it, $7.3K lifetime profit over 254 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is ArmageddonRewardsBilly, with $256 on it, $324K lifetime profit over 4,216 markets (45% won).
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $612
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.5K on it
No$612 on it
- 1ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,216 · whale$256+$324K lifetime
- 2ElonJail63% won of 410 · whale$225+$18K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 131,254 · noise$34+$271K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 57,144$24−$381K lifetime
- 5lissartter55% won of 3,079$24−$312K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?"?
33 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 33 of them. The largest Yes holder is lilith275, with $1.0K on it, $7.3K lifetime profit over 254 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is ArmageddonRewardsBilly, with $256 on it, $324K lifetime profit over 4,216 markets (45% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 76¢ and No at 25¢, a 76% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.