Who's betting on “Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $54K traded all time
- Held now
- $13K by 92 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 63 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 83% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $54K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 2, 2026.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 12 points.
Who holds it
92 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them.
- Holders
- 64
- Money on it
- $13K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $215
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in When will the Danube River return to normal levels?
2 more- October 1 - 31, 2026$47K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- September 15 - 30, 2026$37K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?"?
92 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $54K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 2, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 2, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.