Who's betting on “Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $230K traded all time
- Held now
- $33K by 333 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 63% 188 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 87% 145 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $230K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
63% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 22 points.
Who holds it
333 wallets hold a position worth $33K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 333 of them. The largest Yes holder is BackOfPandaGambler, with $551 on it, $4.0K lifetime profit over 27 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is zxdfbdfgngcxv, with $5.0K on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,234 markets (77% won).
- Holders
- 188
- Money on it
- $3.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 145
- Money on it
- $30K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.5K on it
- 1BackOfPandaGambler56% won of 27 · noise$551+$4.0K lifetime
- 2fqy202656% won of 105 · balanced$340+$26K lifetime
- 30xdizz52% won of 152 · balanced$213+$2.8K lifetime
- 4redsandstone100% won of 7$207−$419 lifetime
- 5jiudubishu86% won of 208$200−$3.3K lifetime
No$30K on it
- 1zxdfbdfgngcxv77% won of 1,234 · whale$5.0K+$83K lifetime
- 20x6bd2671189761274417e66D1F6a834ecdBb695f6-176199515622193% won of 385 · balanced$5.0K+$3.3K lifetime
- 3johndoez68% won of 153 · whale$4.5K+$124K lifetime
- 4Xtermedntid100% won of 2$2.6K+$388 lifetime
- 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$2.2K+$335K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?"?
333 wallets hold a position worth $33K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 333 of them. The largest Yes holder is BackOfPandaGambler, with $551 on it, $4.0K lifetime profit over 27 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is zxdfbdfgngcxv, with $5.0K on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,234 markets (77% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $230K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
63% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 22 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.