
Who's betting on “Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 80 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.8K by 66 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 95% 38 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 15% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
95% of the money on Yes and 15% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 80 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 80 points. A week ago, Yes by 80 points.
Who holds it
66 wallets hold a position worth $4.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is fqy2026, with $2.2K on it, $26K lifetime profit over 105 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is Numitus1994, with $66 on it, $28K lifetime loss over 15,786 markets (49% won).
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $4.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $157
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.7K on it
- 1fqy202656% won of 105 · balanced$2.2K+$26K lifetime
- 2thoodr96% won of 830 · whale$726+$100K lifetime
- 3display30094% won of 206 · grinder$290+$179 lifetime
- 4trumpfive93% won of 206 · grinder$144+$441 lifetime
- 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$125+$335K lifetime
No$157 on it
- 1Numitus199449% won of 15,786$66−$28K lifetime
- 2MaoZeDonK92% won of 397$31−$184K lifetime
- 3Regardeddd51% won of 127$15−$283 lifetime
- 4lucylucylucy51% won of 200$10−$1.0K lifetime
- 5dantes-20654% won of 41$7−$599 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?"?
66 wallets hold a position worth $4.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is fqy2026, with $2.2K on it, $26K lifetime profit over 105 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is Numitus1994, with $66 on it, $28K lifetime loss over 15,786 markets (49% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
95% of the money on Yes and 15% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 80 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 80 points. A week ago, Yes by 80 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.