Who's betting on “Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 48 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $45K traded all time
- Held now
- $19K by 166 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 40% 98 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 89% 68 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
40% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 48 points. A week ago, No by 52 points.
Who holds it
166 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 166 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xa0f2…1848, with $2.1K on it, $3.5M lifetime loss over 2,580 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is cambridgeisaac, with $2.5K on it, $67K lifetime profit over 1,129 markets (57% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $514 on No.
- Holders
- 98
- Money on it
- $5.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 68
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 1 · $514
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.1K on it
- 10xa0f2…184842% won of 2,580$2.1K−$3.5M lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$399+$127K lifetime
- 3SusanWarrenHR75% won of 1,119 · whale$329+$95K lifetime
- 40x2fc8…b2de55% won of 11$182+$5.4K lifetime
- 5Bperil55% won of 391 · whale$166+$26K lifetime
No$14K on it
- 1cambridgeisaac57% won of 1,129 · whale$2.5K+$67K lifetime
- 2Smart-bettor783% won of 212$1.3K−$2.4K lifetime
- 3StarMaster54% won of 944 · whale$1.1K+$98K lifetime
- 4SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$988+$203K lifetime
- 5Gmoney1695% won of 22 · balanced$967+$13K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in TIME Person of the Year 2026
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- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?"?
166 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 166 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xa0f2…1848, with $2.1K on it, $3.5M lifetime loss over 2,580 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is cambridgeisaac, with $2.5K on it, $67K lifetime profit over 1,129 markets (57% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
40% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 48 points. A week ago, No by 52 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.