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Who's betting on “Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?”?

Pop culture$27K traded94 holdersEnds December 31, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
18%Yes🧠 smart money
83%No

Smart money leans Yes: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$27K
traded all time
Held now
$17K
by 94 wallets
Smart share · Yes
89%
52 scored holders
Smart share · No
76%
42 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

The smart money

89% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.

Who holds it

94 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 94 of them. The largest Yes holder is goingsocial, with $1.7K on it, $41K lifetime profit over 215 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is knrad, with $4.0K on it, $40K lifetime profit over 1,120 markets (62% won).

Yes18%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share89%
7 days ago 90%a day ago 89%now 89%
Holders
52
Money on it
$2.9K
Holders' win rate
53%
No83%
Smart money share76%
7 days ago 70%a day ago 76%now 76%
Holders
42
Money on it
$14K
Holders' win rate
64%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$2.9K on it

  1. 1goingsocial50% won of 215 · whale$1.7K+$41K lifetime
  2. 2maritime630740% won of 377 · noise$188+$2.6K lifetime
  3. 3zzzx281% won of 946 · whale$140+$20K lifetime
  4. 4Xyzeric43% won of 215$135−$1.3K lifetime
  5. 5SusanWarrenHR75% won of 1,119 · whale$94+$95K lifetime

No$14K on it

  1. 1knrad62% won of 1,120 · whale$4.0K+$40K lifetime
  2. 2Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$2.8K−$59K lifetime
  3. 3Sardinianshepherd74% won of 1,031 · whale$1.6K+$81K lifetime
  4. 4Anjun67% won of 1,880 · whale$865+$803K lifetime
  5. 5bifurcatio77% won of 117 · balanced$774+$3.5K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?"?

94 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 94 of them. The largest Yes holder is goingsocial, with $1.7K on it, $41K lifetime profit over 215 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is knrad, with $4.0K on it, $40K lifetime profit over 1,120 markets (62% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

89% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.