Who's betting on “Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.4K by 20 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 88% 10 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 10 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
88% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points.
Who holds it
20 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 20 of them. The largest Yes holder is fledger, with $60 on it, $455 lifetime profit over 51 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is PaddyAlpha, with $2.7K on it, $56K lifetime profit over 402 markets (69% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $197 on No.
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $73
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $4.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
- Snipers
- 1 · $197
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$73 on it
- 1fledger88% won of 51 · balanced$60+$455 lifetime
- 2K80PRO56% won of 901$4−$577 lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,827 · noise$3+$27K lifetime
- 4pinner38% won of 1,098$2−$9.6K lifetime
- 5pppnn34% won of 8,113$2−$79K lifetime
No$4.4K on it
- 1PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$2.7K+$56K lifetime
- 2liamweber79% won of 326 · whale$986+$3.2K lifetime
- 3Dapsy51% won of 919$393−$73K lifetime
- 4DREAMBIG.82% won of 295 · sniper$197+$146K lifetime
- 5dlo2337869% won of 281$109−$263 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in TIME Person of the Year 2026
4 more- Zohran Mamdani$45K vol.Yes 27%No 74%Smart money: No
- Pope Leo XIV$27K vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: Yes
- Donald Trump$14K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: No
- Mark Carney$11K vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money: Yes
Other big pop culture markets
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026?"?
20 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 20 of them. The largest Yes holder is fledger, with $60 on it, $455 lifetime profit over 51 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is PaddyAlpha, with $2.7K on it, $56K lifetime profit over 402 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.