
Who's betting on “Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 35 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.0K by 51 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 61% 29 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 96% 22 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
61% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 10 points.
Who holds it
51 wallets hold a position worth $9.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is Smart-bettor7, with $255 on it, $2.4K lifetime loss over 212 markets (83% won). The largest No holder is Dragontree, with $2.8K on it, $152K lifetime profit over 1,113 markets (59% won).
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $766
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $8.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$766 on it
- 1Smart-bettor783% won of 212$255−$2.4K lifetime
- 2zzzx281% won of 949 · whale$170+$20K lifetime
- 3PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$83+$56K lifetime
- 4SusanWarrenHR75% won of 1,119 · whale$48+$95K lifetime
- 50x2fc8…b2de55% won of 11$40+$5.4K lifetime
No$8.2K on it
- 1Dragontree59% won of 1,113 · whale$2.8K+$152K lifetime
- 2bifurcatio77% won of 117 · balanced$2.0K+$3.5K lifetime
- 3Poopyface65% won of 52 · balanced$970+$5.0K lifetime
- 4cocococococo54% won of 1,420 · whale$859+$107K lifetime
- 5Tanjirooo89% won of 449 · balanced$581+$7.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in TIME Person of the Year 2026
4 more- Zohran Mamdani$45K vol.Yes 27%No 74%Smart money: No
- Pope Leo XIV$27K vol.Yes 17%No 83%Smart money: Yes
- Ali G$13K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- Mark Carney$11K vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money: Yes
Other big pop culture markets
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?"?
51 wallets hold a position worth $9.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is Smart-bettor7, with $255 on it, $2.4K lifetime loss over 212 markets (83% won). The largest No holder is Dragontree, with $2.8K on it, $152K lifetime profit over 1,113 markets (59% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
61% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.