polkyo
Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?”?

Pop culture$11K traded62 holdersEnds December 31, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
16%Yes🧠 smart money
84%No

Smart money leans Yes: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$11K
traded all time
Held now
$6.3K
by 62 wallets
Smart share · Yes
72%
32 scored holders
Smart share · No
50%
30 scored holders
📈 Open the live signal🔔 Alert me when smart money moves

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

The smart money

72% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points.

Who holds it

62 wallets hold a position worth $6.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is YuliaKyiv, with $208 on it, $11K lifetime loss over 1,594 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is Smart-bettor7, with $1.3K on it, $2.4K lifetime loss over 212 markets (83% won).

Sharp money

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $168 on No.

Yes16%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share72%
a day ago 71%now 72%
Holders
32
Money on it
$1.0K
Holders' win rate
61%
No84%
Smart money share50%
a day ago 49%now 50%
Holders
30
Money on it
$5.3K
Holders' win rate
72%
Snipers
1 · $168

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.0K on it

  1. 1YuliaKyiv62% won of 1,594$208−$11K lifetime
  2. 2Djibooty53% won of 236 · whale$160+$1.7K lifetime
  3. 3SusanWarrenHR75% won of 1,119 · whale$128+$95K lifetime
  4. 4lolofrap47% won of 30$90+$23 lifetime
  5. 5meagher66% won of 41 · balanced$80+$1.1K lifetime

No$5.3K on it

  1. 1Smart-bettor783% won of 212$1.3K−$2.4K lifetime
  2. 2Bertapotamous85% won of 1,036 · whale$1.2K+$250K lifetime
  3. 3macrosteaks64% won of 2,609$695−$7.8K lifetime
  4. 4Dragontree59% won of 1,113 · whale$445+$152K lifetime
  5. 5WonderWaffleno record yet$335−$78 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

More markets in TIME Person of the Year 2026

4 more
Who's betting on TIME Person of the Year 2026 →

Other big pop culture markets

Every big pop culture market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?"?

62 wallets hold a position worth $6.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is YuliaKyiv, with $208 on it, $11K lifetime loss over 1,594 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is Smart-bettor7, with $1.3K on it, $2.4K lifetime loss over 212 markets (83% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

72% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.