Who's betting on “Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $207K traded all time
- Held now
- $80K by 338 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 44% 163 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 41% 170 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $207K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
44% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
338 wallets hold a position worth $80K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 333 of them. The largest Yes holder is ramboguido, with $2.4K on it, $905 lifetime loss over 1 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is SlenderMan, with $15K on it, $213K lifetime loss over 577 markets (68% won).
Sharp money
The insider radar has flagged 1 wallet betting $2.4K on Yes.
- Holders
- 167
- Money on it
- $10K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Insider flags
- 1 · $2.4K
- Holders
- 171
- Money on it
- $70K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$10K on it
- 1ramboguido0% won of 1$2.4K−$905 lifetime
- 20x6d3e…0187no record yet$1.4K
- 30x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-177958101681536% won of 172 · noise$1.3K+$871 lifetime
- 4BigBoiBettin56% won of 200 · balanced$897+$22K lifetime
- 50x25a9…85d3no record yet$762
No$70K on it
- 1SlenderMan68% won of 577$15K−$213K lifetime
- 2Lnn62% won of 60$14K−$6.8K lifetime
- 3hopedieslast61% won of 233 · whale$8.3K+$260K lifetime
- 4forinnerpsandr1x1122283% won of 299 · whale$6.1K+$89K lifetime
- 50x68688EC522468e7F8C4Ce4c286017C8C3820a90A-176104672435459% won of 32$1.8K−$8.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?"?
338 wallets hold a position worth $80K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 333 of them. The largest Yes holder is ramboguido, with $2.4K on it, $905 lifetime loss over 1 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is SlenderMan, with $15K on it, $213K lifetime loss over 577 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $207K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
44% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Is there insider betting on this market?
1 wallet on Yes ($2.4K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.