Who's betting on “Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?”?
Smart money leans No: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $23K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.5K by 70 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 68% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 93% 24 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
The smart money
68% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 24 points.
Who holds it
70 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is ToTheWindow, with $7 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 441 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is BKno95, with $451 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 340 markets (84% won).
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $26
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$26 on it
- 1ToTheWindow55% won of 441 · whale$7+$36K lifetime
- 2lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$2+$1.2M lifetime
- 3TheJewishHammer15% won of 275$2−$35 lifetime
- 42B9S27% won of 14,477 · noise$2+$97K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,246 · noise$2+$255K lifetime
No$1.5K on it
- 1BKno9584% won of 340 · balanced$451+$19K lifetime
- 20xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$434+$334K lifetime
- 3vyemfql63% won of 239 · balanced$197+$8.5K lifetime
- 4thanksforplayin58% won of 2,163 · whale$94+$262K lifetime
- 5bacs200064% won of 59 · balanced$59+$99 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
70 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is ToTheWindow, with $7 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 441 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is BKno95, with $451 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 340 markets (84% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
68% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 24 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.