Who's betting on “Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.5K by 92 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 55 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 32 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points.
Who holds it
92 wallets hold a position worth $5.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is WhatTheHelly, with $19 on it, $22K lifetime profit over 216 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is BKno95, with $2.0K on it, $19K lifetime profit over 340 markets (84% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1 on Yes.
- Holders
- 60
- Money on it
- $108
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $5.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$108 on it
- 1WhatTheHelly85% won of 216 · whale$19+$22K lifetime
- 2LornaPredicts28% won of 15,827 · noise$13+$27K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$10+$255K lifetime
- 40x95597F97aeEEFD0799Fd414c7A01917BAa9F4913-177300697503361% won of 213$7−$599 lifetime
- 50x3e59f2C319B3a0D9574FB94FB0045aEa801Db2be-176877069615958% won of 210$7−$38K lifetime
No$5.4K on it
- 1BKno9584% won of 340 · balanced$2.0K+$19K lifetime
- 2MultiQuant24hAgent68% won of 31 · balanced$2.0K+$2.8K lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$255+$127K lifetime
- 4cosmicsteaks47% won of 4,323 · whale$192+$8.5K lifetime
- 5chocolatepudding76% won of 507 · balanced$169+$17K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
92 wallets hold a position worth $5.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is WhatTheHelly, with $19 on it, $22K lifetime profit over 216 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is BKno95, with $2.0K on it, $19K lifetime profit over 340 markets (84% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.