Who's betting on “Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?”?
Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.9K by 72 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 38 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 34 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points.
Who holds it
72 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is shinyandrew, with $55 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 221 markets (31% won). The largest No holder is 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960, with $3.1K on it, $123K lifetime profit over 391 markets (65% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $12 on No.
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $200
- Holders' win rate
- 41%
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $4.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 1 · $12
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$200 on it
- 1shinyandrew31% won of 221 · noise$55+$48K lifetime
- 2LornaPredicts28% won of 15,759 · noise$31+$27K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,005$27−$50K lifetime
- 4DuneMentat75% won of 834$18−$12K lifetime
- 5E10ESpoascknasjdhajdDas12t22% won of 628 · noise$14+$749 lifetime
No$4.7K on it
- 10x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-176070367496065% won of 391 · whale$3.1K+$123K lifetime
- 2libutong71% won of 111$260+$14 lifetime
- 3Zimmy4565% won of 201$244−$600 lifetime
- 4nisiti99% won of 340 · balanced$167+$5.7K lifetime
- 5HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$157+$179K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
72 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is shinyandrew, with $55 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 221 markets (31% won). The largest No holder is 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960, with $3.1K on it, $123K lifetime profit over 391 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.