Who's betting on “Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 64 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $115K traded all time
- Held now
- $25K by 293 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 88% 94 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 25% 196 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 74¢ and No at 27¢, a 74% implied chance of Yes. $115K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
88% of the money on Yes and 25% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 64 points. A week ago, Yes by 63 points.
Who holds it
293 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 290 of them. The largest Yes holder is Barkshire-Hathaway, with $3.7K on it, $129K lifetime profit over 610 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is 1660S.eth, with $1.1K on it, $9.1K lifetime loss over 201 markets (57% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $58 on Yes.
- Holders
- 95
- Money on it
- $18K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 1 · $58
- Holders
- 198
- Money on it
- $6.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$18K on it
- 1Barkshire-Hathaway73% won of 610 · whale$3.7K+$129K lifetime
- 2fqy202656% won of 105 · balanced$2.7K+$26K lifetime
- 30x6c76c3a8d0ebfAF2516102884E7472CD9c7A1d72-1769676335335100% won of 1$2.5K+$24 lifetime
- 4Haozenlin75% won of 4$1.6K+$207 lifetime
- 50xffd3E7102CA12796beAD452B06117e2100D27C75-176189444691070% won of 91 · balanced$1.6K+$11K lifetime
No$6.5K on it
- 11660S.eth57% won of 201$1.1K−$9.1K lifetime
- 20xd6a800Ec7A3B34835Da84d53994b179B9E330E79-177695530726232% won of 98$1.0K−$1.7K lifetime
- 30xb64d…fdb4no record yet$316−$942 lifetime
- 4goask36% won of 219$303−$3.4K lifetime
- 5luca0.0067% won of 3$272+$33 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?"?
293 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 290 of them. The largest Yes holder is Barkshire-Hathaway, with $3.7K on it, $129K lifetime profit over 610 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is 1660S.eth, with $1.1K on it, $9.1K lifetime loss over 201 markets (57% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 74¢ and No at 27¢, a 74% implied chance of Yes. $115K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 25% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 64 points. A week ago, Yes by 63 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.